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  1. #1
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Mulcair benefits from sparse scrutiny

    June 20, 2015
    Canada

    For federal opposition leader Thomas Mulcair, election day canít come soon enough.

    The NDP leader has been flying under the radar of negative attack ads and mainstream media scrutiny.

    With its recent surge in public opinion polls, the NDP suddenly has momentum.

    Mulcair could be prime minister before you know it.

    Unfortunately for him, however, the election is October 19, not July 19.

    Since his election as Liberal leader, Justin Trudeau has enjoyed some much-deserved success, returning the Liberals as a legitimate political alternative to Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.

    The media-savvy Trudeau has had a high profile in Ottawa and has often been more effective than Mulcair in opposing Harper.

    Indeed, there have been many times since Trudeau was elected Liberal leader that you would have thought the Liberals were the official opposition, rather than the third party.

    But Trudeauís high profile and his success in making the Liberals the alternative to Harperís Conservatives has come at a price.

    National media that often ignored the Liberals before Trudeau was elected, have been scrutinizing him intensely for the past year.

    A Liberal policy announcement that once would have been barely reported, is now costed and dissected.

    Thatís inevitable in politics. If it looks like you could become the next PM, be prepared for the media scrutiny that comes with the territory.

    Trudeau is lower in the polls today than he was a year ago in large part because of this scrutiny.

    Mulcair hasnít suffered the same fate -- in fact heís up in the polls -- because heís received very little negative press.

    Why? Because until recently, no one thought he could win.

    Similarly, for the past year the Harper Conservatives have been obsessed with attacking Trudeau.

    Their negative radio and television ads aimed at Trudeau have been everywhere.

    Especially so in recent weeks, as the Conservatives try to brand Trudeau as too inexperienced to become PM, even before the official election race begins.

    Negative advertising works. Thatís why all parties use it.

    But it also takes time to have an impact.

    Thatís why youíre seeing and hearing so much of it now, four months before the election.

    The Conservativesí strategy has been to keep up these very personal, very negative attacks on Trudeau.

    The result is that Trudeau and the Liberals have taken a hit in popularity, while Mulcair has largely been ignored.

    But timing is everything in politics.

    Have the Harper strategists attacked Trudeau too soon and ignored Mulcair at their peril?

    Trudeau still has time to recover while Mulcairís new-found momentum has largely come from his being ignored.

    Clearly, the Tory strategy to focus on their economic record and tout themselves as prudent fiscal managers is not having the impact they had hoped.

    And just last week there was a potential game changer in the fall federal election.

    Engage Canada launched their own attack ads against Harper.

    The political landscape in Ottawa looks like itís heading towards a classic, old-time western shoot-out movie this fall.

    The Conservative attack machine is shooting at Trudeau.

    New third-party advertising is shooting at Harper.

    The media fire at both Harper and Trudeau.

    Meanwhile, over on the saloon porch, Mulcair sits back in his rocking chair watching his political enemies trying to kill each other.

    But the election is still four months away, so his enemies still have time to turn their guns on him.

    The canary in the coal mine in all this was the election of Rachel Notleyís majority NDP government in Alberta, defeating a 43-year provincial Tory dynasty.

    In retrospect, that should have been the first alarm for the Harper campaign to start looking at Mulcair and the NDP as the real threat.

    Now the polls suggest the federal NDP surge is more than a blip.

    Both the Conservatives and Liberals will have to re-load their campaign attack ads and turn their cannons on a new target -- Mulcair.

    hxxp://www.torontosun.com/2015/06/20/mulcair-benefits-from-sparse-scrutiny

  2. #2
    Senior Member Foxer's Avatar
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    Ok - nobody is this stupid. That would lead me to believe this guy has an alterior motive of some sort.

    I mean - it's an absolute blatant lie that trudeau has been a better 'opposition' - in fact virtually every single pundit out there has pointed out that mulcair has been excellent and trudeau has been non existant. Trudeau wasn't even IN THE HOUSE for most of his early term as leader. And when he was he made several serious gaffes.

    There isn't a serious political pundit who thinks trudeau even came CLOSE to mulcair.

    ANd mulcair has faced a great deal of scrutiny.

    And saying that there was EVER a time when a liberal (or anyone else's) actual budget details wouldn't be ABSOLUTELY scrutinized is insane. His suggestion that it would have 'barely been reported on' is beyond incompetent - it's into the realm of deliberate lie, because nobody could be that dumb.

    I don't know what this guy's game is - but he clearly is deliberately mis-stating the truth for some reason to create a public perception. You just can't accidentally be that wrong. But perhaps he hopes (probably correctly) that a lot of people woudn't notice.

  3. #3
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Foxer View Post
    Trudeau wasn't even IN THE HOUSE for most of his early term as leader.
    but but but

    [Justin Trudeau made] A commitment to a prime minister's question period where, as prime minister, Trudeau would answer questions from all MPs rather than just party leaders. "It demonstrates a prime minister who is more aware of all the files, but also much more engaged with questions and criticisms,"

    -- hxxp://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/justin-trudeau-plays-down-polls-and-the-politics-of-fear-1.3118629

  4. #4
    Senior Member Foxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeBob View Post
    but but but
    Yes - but what he didn't mention is that it would be bi-annual.

  5. #5
    Super Moderator Rory McCanuck's Avatar
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    Twice a year or every two years?

    The media-savvy Trudeau has had a high profile in Ottawa and has often been more effective than Mulcair in opposing Harper.
    Reeeeally? One example, please.

  6. #6
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    The author of this article is Jim Warren.

    When Sun Media was purchased by Post Media, Paul Godfrey fired the Sun's "Liberal" voice Warren Kinsella.

    He and Kinsella had butted heads on a great many occasions over the years.

    Jim Warren, a life long Liberal and long time personal friend of Paul Godfrey was hired to replace Kinsella.

  7. #7
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    "The media-savvy Trudeau has had a high profile in Ottawa and has often been more effective than Mulcair in opposing Harper"

    The only time Trudeau has even come near being more effective than Mulcair in opposing Harper is when Mulcair isn't in Question period.

    Even then, most of the time Mulcair's empty HOC seat is more effective than Trudeau.

  8. The Following 2 Users Like This Post By soulchaser

    killer kane (06-21-2015), Rory McCanuck (06-20-2015)

  9. #8
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    From the Toronto Sun website:

    Postmedia Network

    Jim Warren is a Liberal political strategist and media commentator. He worked for former Toronto mayor Mel Lastman and former Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty and is currently a principal at grgadvisors.ca and CEO of Riseley Gaming Inc. His column appears Sundays.

  10. #9
    Senior Member Foxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by soulchaser View Post
    From the Toronto Sun website:

    Postmedia Network

    Jim Warren is a Liberal political strategist and media commentator. He worked for former Toronto mayor Mel Lastman and former Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty and is currently a principal at grgadvisors.ca and CEO of Riseley Gaming Inc. His column appears Sundays.
    Well, given ontario's fiscal health and given the state of education and the new 'curriculum' being proposed, and given his past, i'd say this article is in keeping with the fine work the liberals have done in ontario to date.

  11. The Following User Liked This Post By Foxer

    killer kane (06-21-2015)

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