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  1. #601
    Senior Member Petamocto's Avatar
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    Some polls are starting to show the NDP getting close to 20%.

    Generally good for us, as one would assume it's the left splitting.
    Don’t order from Wolverine Supplies. PM me for details.

  2. #602
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    quebec, from cgn

    Quote Originally Posted by VinnyQC View Post
    The francos in Quebec are very divided and their vote change from election to election. Anglos and allos (people who's 1st language is neither french nor english) massively vote liberal in both federal and provincial elections. That's why the island of Montreal and the Outaouais region are completely red. You often hear about these ridings that "ils voteraient pour un cochon peinturé rouge" which I would loosely translate to "They would vote for a pig if it was painted red".

    During the last provincial election, the liberals didn't win a single riding where the majority of people are natively french speaking (they won one of them, but lost it in a by election a few months later). Yet, their support from anglos and allos gave them 25% of all ridings.

    So given the dynamic here, good luck getting these people to quit voting liberal. Too many of them equate canada with liberal party. They have always been told that "the liberal party is the natural party of canada" and still believe the old fairytales like the queen is relevant, the conservatives want to kick them out of the country, and only the liberals can "protect" them.
    Quote Originally Posted by VinnyQC View Post
    And btw, if you think Trudeau is liked in Quebec, you're off your rockers. There is very often a real disconnect between what the average people think and what the "elite" writes in newspapers. This time there isn't: when the average person talk about Trudeau, the most used word are "clown" and "s*ck". Columnists are more eloquent, so "has shown how being a drama teacher is not a sufficient preparation to be prime minister" and "lack of judgment" are often part of opinion pieces.

    If Scheer just hammered one point that popular to Quebecers, for example the unique revenue declaration, and stopped spraying himself daily with voter-repellant bodyspray, he could tip the scale and take an extra 5-10 contested ridings.

  3. #603
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Petamocto View Post
    Some polls are starting to show the NDP getting close to 20%.
    DART (Oct 9)
    LPC 28
    CPC 33
    NDP 20
    GPC 7
    BQ 9
    PPC 2

    Campaign (Oct 9)
    LPC 29
    CPC 32
    NDP 19
    GPC 10
    BQ 7
    PPC 3

    Abacus Data (Oct 9)
    LPC 32
    CPC 32
    NDP 18
    GPC 9
    BQ 6
    PPC 2

    Mainstreet (Oct 11)
    LPC 29
    CPC 33
    NDP 17
    GPC 9
    BQ 8
    PPC 4

    Nanos (Oct 12)
    LPC 31
    CPC 32
    NDP 20
    GPC 9
    BQ 6
    PPC 1

    These are the most recent 5 polls. I didn't cherry pick the list to match your quote.

  4. #604
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    All the graphs at http://338canada.com/ look better than I've seen them in months.
    Predicting Conservative minority.

    https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elec...racker/canada/
    has flipped back overnight, predicting Liberal minority.
    but is missing the Dart and Mainstreet polls (both of which are strongly conservative).

  5. #605
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Is it just me, or does this look like a map of Canada?
    - Hudson's Bay
    - Ellesmere Island
    - Southern Ontario
    - Maritimes

    338Canada20191013.jpg

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