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  1. #511
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    Campaign Research:

    Liberal slide in Ontario continues.

    CPC 38
    Liberals 34

    https://www.campaignresearch.ca/sing...s-slip-further
    Justin 2015

    Justout 2019

  2. The Following 6 Users Like This Post By soulchaser

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  3. #512
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Trudeau’s odds to win the Canadian federal election have definitely dipped over the past two months, but despite the recent scandal, he remains +110 to win. Andrew Scheer’s odds remain flat at -110.

    Andrew Scheer -110
    Justin Trudeau +110
    Jagmeet Singh +900
    Elizabeth May +3300
    Maxime Bernier +3300


    Odds Justin Trudeau Resigns before election?
    Yes +2000
    No -5000
    With “No” at -5000, oddsmakers believe Trudeau will stick things out and try to explain what he was thinking at the time, while also trying to win re-election.


    both from
    https://www.oddsshark.com/politics/c...-election-odds

  4. #513
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Who will win the 2019 Canadian Federal Election
    Justin Trudeau +100
    Andrew Scheer +125
    Jagmeet Singh +500
    Maxime Bernier +4000
    Elizabeth May +5000


    Documented Instances Of Trudeau In Blackface (Must Happen Prior To Election)
    Over 6.5 -120
    Under 6.5 +120

    Both from
    https://mybookie.ag/sportsbook/special-wagers/
    via https://www.forbes.com/sites/zackjon...photos-surface

  5. #514
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeBob View Post
    Nanos
    Sept 17 - Lib 36
    Sept 18 - Lib 35
    Sept 19 - Lib 34
    -- https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elec...racker/canada/
    . .

    Quote Originally Posted by soulchaser View Post
    Nanos is starting to show the affect on the Liberals.

    CPC - 37
    Libs 32

  6. #515
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Abacus (Sept 22)
    Lib 32
    Con 34
    NDP 15
    GRN 10
    BQ 4
    PPC 3

    Nanos (Sept 22)
    Lib 33
    Con 34
    NDP 13
    GRN 11
    BQ 6
    PPC 3

  7. #516
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    Sept 23 Angus
    CPC 35
    Libs 30

    Sept 23 Dart Insight
    CPC 37
    Libs 30

    Interestingly, Dart Insight's John Wright thinks the blackface stuff still hasn't made an impact in the numbers yet. So the Liberals are falling without it.

    Dart also confirms Campaign Research's Ontario number the CPC are now leading.
    Justin 2015

    Justout 2019

  8. The Following 5 Users Like This Post By soulchaser

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  9. #517
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    Ipsos, Spet. 24

    CPC 36 (up 1)
    Libs 32 (down 3)
    NDP 15 (up 1)
    Greens 11 (up 2)
    PPC 2

    https://globalnews.ca/news/5941669/i...kface-scandal/
    Justin 2015

    Justout 2019

  10. #518
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    New nanos

    Libs 35
    CPC 34

    Libs bribe cheque must have cleared.
    Justin 2015

    Justout 2019

  11. The Following 2 Users Like This Post By soulchaser

    Billythreefeathers (09-24-2019), Doug_M (09-24-2019)

  12. #519
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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  13. #520
    Senior Member RangeBob's Avatar
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    Sept 24 2019
    http://338canada.com/

    Votes
    Con: 35.2%
    Lib: 32.9%

    Seats
    Con: 148.1
    Lib: 150.3

    Liberal Majority odds: 28.7.7%
    Liberal most seats odds: 51.4%
    Conservative Majority odds: 22.3%
    Conservative most seats odds: 48.0%

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